Polymarket Trader

VanGen

0xade215552e9f86df1a72fbf9a13672fa0f75e86d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $844.99
Realized PnL: $20.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $102.63
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $21.67
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$78.33

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $523.81
Potential payout: $634.92
Potential profit: $111.11
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $123.81

Frances Tiafoe position

Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $154.96
Potential payout: $476.81
Potential profit: $321.85
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$45.04

Ben Shelton position

Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.78
Potential profit: $387.78
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$200

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88
Potential profit: $350.88
User PnL: -$200

Alexander Bublik position

Madrid Open: Alexander Bublik vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.28
Potential profit: $346.28
User PnL: -$217.55

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Jakub Mensik position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.42
Potential profit: $332.42
User PnL: -$200

Marcus Buchecha position

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.03
Potential profit: $324.03
User PnL: -$197.66

Daniil Medvedev position

Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$200

Stefanos Tsitsipas position

BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.94
Potential profit: $313.94
User PnL: -$197.78

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.51
Potential profit: $298.51
User PnL: -$200

Camilo Ugo Carabelli position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenko

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.72
Potential profit: $293.72
User PnL: -$200

Zhang Mingyang position

UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.86
Potential profit: $289.86
User PnL: -$200

Tommy Paul position

Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.16
Potential profit: $287.16
User PnL: -$198.14

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $41.92
Potential payout: $270.42
Potential profit: $228.51
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$58.08

Yi Sak Lee position

UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Mansur Abdul-Malik position

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.43
Potential profit: $264.43
User PnL: -$150

Taylor Fritz position

Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.26
Potential profit: $260.26
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.74
Potential profit: $259.74
User PnL: -$200

Alexander Zverev position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.16
Potential profit: $253.16
User PnL: -$200

Carlos Alcaraz position

BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.16
Potential profit: $253.16
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Jannik Sinner position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Valentin Vacherot position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Fabian Marozsan position

Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Aljamain Sterling position

UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.52

Mariano Navone position

Bucharest Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Mariano Navone

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.32

Alexandre Muller position

Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.93

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.44

Casper Ruud position

Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $617.15

Henrique Rocha position

Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $605.45

Katie Volynets position

Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynets

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.69

Tien position

Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $602.07

Valentin Vacherot position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.14

Francisco Cerundolo position

Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmann

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.22

Luciano Darderi position

Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.15

Elisabetta Cocciaretto position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Sinja Kraus

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.51

Ugo Humbert position

Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.83

Raoni Barcelos position

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.62

Grant Dawson position

UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.2

Dayana Yastremska position

Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.38

Damir Dzumhur position

Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhur

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.45

Denis Shapovalov position

BNP Paribas Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Denis Shapovalov

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 63% 634.92 shares
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Frances Tiafoe 41.9% 476.81 shares
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev 62% 322.58 shares
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)

Collignon 55.3% 90.36 shares
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert 60.8% 657.4 shares
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

Ben Shelton 62% 161.29 shares
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

Ben Shelton 44.2% 226.49 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 158.73 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Bellucci

Raphael Collignon 52% 192.31 shares
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn

Ben Shelton 78% 128.21 shares
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinn

Ben Shelton 78% 128.21 shares