Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $75.44
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
marlee157leonardo
0xade414807a1ee3669e8c8fae1ff3990bef91c907
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.56
- Realized PnL
- $13.13
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
"Happy Gilmore 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will John Finucane win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 82 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 51% 105 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 105 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 65.7% 86 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.8% 38 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 95.8% 64 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 64 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 96.6% 63 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 96.3% 63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 34% 62 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 69% 31.31 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 19 shares