Polymarket Trader

0xADE4d25dB1558aE1CB2e0566a14559A89D06aC7C-1775424132193

0xade4d25db1558ae1cb2e0566a14559a89d06ac7c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.93
Realized PnL: $11.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $17.73
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $232.28
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $7.78
Potential payout: $189.87
Potential profit: $182.09
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$7.22

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Joel Álvarez position

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.76
Potential profit: $56.76
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.72
Potential profit: $16.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.25
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.51
Potential profit: $15.51
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)

Joel Álvarez 37% 56.76 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.9% 189.87 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 8.6% 232.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?

No 64.5% 15.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 29.9% 16.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Up 99% 17.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Up 57% 17.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Up 60% 8.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 52% 9.62 shares