Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $412.05
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $40.05
Polymarket Trader
Edarker15
0xadeb75f609c8163a8e1ea9cf8d06aad0ab1d1816
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.69K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.28K
- Win rate
- 5.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $43.63
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $8.63
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $61.66
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $974.7
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $181.21
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $848.38
- Multiplier
- 5.68x
- User PnL
- $28.21
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $112.66
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $916.23
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $43.66
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $480.68
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $542.05
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $30.68
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $399.88
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $621.53
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $65.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $790.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $430B on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us" first?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "m.A.A.d. City" first?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
The "Saquon Special" Parlay
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA" first?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 55 or more senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.3
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$85.76
Yes position
Will 54 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.4
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees"?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "m.A.A.d. City"?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Saquon Barkley score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$186.9
Yes position
Will the Eagles commit a roughing the passer penalty in Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$197.8
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 44% 1,022.73 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 1,028.89 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 13+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.3% 1,051.27 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.1% 2,055.09 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.5% 1,036.36 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes 14.9% 1,029.59 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.7% 1,021.41 shares
- Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes 2.5% 1,004 shares
- Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes 2.8% 2,125.06 shares
- Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes 2.2% 35 shares
- Will Saquon Barkley score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will the Eagles commit a roughing the passer penalty in Super Bowl LIX?Yes 35% 285.71 shares