No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $295.32
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$200.31
Polymarket Trader
thetagains
0xadf1762bc6db507df2e447e0114c42edc50c1e9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.73K
- Realized PnL
- $12.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $801.13
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $48.88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $92.63
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $633.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $66.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $127.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.61
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.09
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.34
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.99
No position
Will Trump sign a bill into law in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.07
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.63
No position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.81
No position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $246.25
No position
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.95
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.37
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.34
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.45
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.49
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.94
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.3
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 23% 1,568.18 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 19% 408 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 46.3% 200 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 5.6% 200 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 37% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 18% 2,000 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No 75% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 70% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 67% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No 85% 148.4 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?No 33% 339 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?No 95.9% 113.29 shares