No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $254.62
- Potential payout
- $277.21
- Potential profit
- $22.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$10.11
Polymarket Trader
Kactus
0xadf18a599d0c73e432d042ad6d922051ae796460
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $494.9
- Realized PnL
- $1.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $251.53
- Potential profit
- $239.83
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $126.32
- Potential payout
- $127.6
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $15.2
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $14.76
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $148.27
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $130.16
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 3, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.75
No position
Will Keenan Hayes win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.75
Yes position
Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.44
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $48.62
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $37.37
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 23, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.41
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.32
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 27?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $26
No position
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on May 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 18, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.32
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.98
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
N
No position
Will voter turnout be <52% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $23.29
No position
Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Dakota Johnson be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.75
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Transparency" in Des Moines?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.99
Y
Yes position
Will "Knicks" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on June 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 18.5% 75.64 shares
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 19% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 51% 3.95 shares
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 47% 4.01 shares
- Will the announcers say "Loose Ball" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?No 41% 15 shares
- Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 50% 3.96 shares
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 59% 35.62 shares
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 60% 19.11 shares
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 57% 11.62 shares
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 57% 57.11 shares
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?No 34% 5 shares
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 20% 69.35 shares