No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $120.82
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $60.32
Polymarket Trader
fghaef19hj
0xadf452abc6a64db1bdbee6f320a149646d86b298
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $128.99
- Realized PnL
- -$0.5
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $121
- Potential profit
- $120.82
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$60.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.41
- Potential profit
- $40.41
- User PnL
- -$11.72
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Nuggets position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.73K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets 70% 3.27 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown 59.5% 9.79 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown 59.4% 24.51 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp 46% 6.27 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp 49% 7.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown 48% 2.01 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on March 31?Up 50% 2.89 shares
- XRP Up or Down on March 30?Up 70% 2.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?Up 29% 40.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?Down 34% 26.74 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No 99.7% 5,621.5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No 99.8% 5,621.5 shares