Polymarket Trader

Reconquistador

0xadfaada4a21c0b3d5c6459f2374d1e3dfd43324e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.46K
Realized PnL: $246.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $2.66K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $37.34K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$780

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $26K
Potential profit: $22.42K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$559

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$12.75K

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $16K
User PnL: -$8.8K

No position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$8.4K

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$4.56K

Curaçao position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$5.76K

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$6.36K

BetBoom Team position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$5.64K

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$6.72K

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $7.5K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $4.5K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $420

Over position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$6.12K

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$4.02K

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$1.08K

No position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$7.08K

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$8.64K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $5.46K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $6.54K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $60

No position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$6.12K

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$5.16K

No position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$5.83K

Yes position

Morocco leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $265
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.74K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $15

No position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.7K

No position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$4.5K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

G2 position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4K

No position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8K

No position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.72K

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57K

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56K

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54K

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53K

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35K

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24K

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24K

No position

Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Heat position

Spread: Hornets (-7.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8K

Daniel Altmaier position

Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75K

Raptors position

Pistons vs. Raptors

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7K

Colorado Buffaloes position

Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5)

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6K

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6K

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6K

THUNDER dOWNUNDER position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48K

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12K

paiN position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Ben Shelton position

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98K

No position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Under 43% 7.67 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FUT Esports 42% 280.72 shares
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals

No 99.8% 130.51 shares
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Chicago White Sox 53% 1,159.78 shares
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

Legacy 46% 3,411.5 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

BetBoom Team 59% 5,077.27 shares
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

FUT Esports 61% 6,000 shares
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

NIP 40% 6,087.35 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 42% 12,000 shares
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

Under 47% 8,788.04 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Camila Osorio 56% 23.64 shares
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?

No 53% 10.09 shares