Polymarket Trader

Politico1916

0xae006c0fafe405ada923dc000cf760f983c95917

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $388.23
Realized PnL: $57.49
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$404.58

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.12
Potential profit: $669.12
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $585.64
Potential profit: $585.64
User PnL: -$146.41

Yes position

Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.81
Potential profit: $549.81
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $240.3
Potential payout: $298.51
Potential profit: $58.21
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $40.3

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $48.91
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $168.48
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $99.02
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $97.06
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.17
Potential profit: $174.17
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.78

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.71

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 217.39 shares
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?

Yes 67% 298.51 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 92% 434.78 shares
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Yes 43.6% 183.65 shares
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

Yes 54.6% 366.16 shares
Will Putin visit China by May 31?

No 0.3% 1,108.77 shares
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 67.9% 70.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Up 57.4% 174.17 shares
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 669.12 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 63% 476.19 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 585.64 shares