Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.81K
- Potential profit
- $29.81K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
Polymarket Trader
vivalibertad
0xae0d7b437f018627c73316048000860034a9b73d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.86
- Realized PnL
- $623.92
- Win rate
- 35.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.73K
- Potential profit
- $27.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $4.39K
- User PnL
- -$307
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- User PnL
- -$436.7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.94
- Potential profit
- $500.94
- User PnL
- -$80.15
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $34.86
- Potential payout
- $366.95
- Potential profit
- $332.09
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$65.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $918.2
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.58
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.05
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.92
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.57
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.84
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.89
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.41
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.62
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.81
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.35
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$86.72
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$89.43
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$186.38
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$478.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Yes 16% 500.94 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 27.3% 366.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 7% 2,957.14 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.1% 11,768.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 2.1% 1,190.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 2.9% 1,896.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 2.9% 3,448.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.7% 270.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 6% 4,962.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 39% 3,812.82 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes 11.1% 254.8 shares