Polymarket Trader

TB14

0xae2b0aaea325a32870f56ff19df3b87acaa190ea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $387.14K
Realized PnL: $243.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $369.52K
Potential payout: $2M
Potential profit: $1.63M
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $32.94K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$50

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.74K
Potential payout: $53.35K
Potential profit: $45.62K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$16.72K

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $6.16K
Potential payout: $19.57K
Potential profit: $13.4K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$97.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.03K
Potential profit: $17.03K
User PnL: -$79.98

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $104.55
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $8.99K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$895.45

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $3.03K
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $26.32

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $48.44
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$51.56

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $490.38
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$9.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.38K

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.81K

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.73K

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.59K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39K

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.59K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33K

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02K

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12K

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.87K

Arnold Allen position

UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62K

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46K

Yes position

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: England (-1.5)

England 32% 11,754.72 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 31% 19,354.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 0.1% 10,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 1% 1,002.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 1% 1,009.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Up 1% 5,017.41 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 52% 3,076.92 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

England 32% 7,812.5 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 55% 27,174.55 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 51% 411.76 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 37% 540.54 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 57% 877.19 shares