Polymarket Trader

James-Claude

0xae306b992120031eec74e5d2dbbb87040831e371

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $526.18
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.88
Potential profit: $287.88
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Phil Foden score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 30?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $41.44
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $32.56
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $41.51
Potential payout: $71.57
Potential profit: $30.06
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$8.72

No position

Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 57.1%
Current value: $39.38
Potential payout: $68.98
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$7.76

No position

Will Fubo: Watch Live TV & Sports be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $40.12
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $27.88
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$7.56

No position

Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $53.3
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $48.64
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $15.36
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Future perform "Mask Off" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $45.51
Potential payout: $57.25
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $9.45

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $45.28
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $10.97
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $9.28

No position

Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $46.13
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $45.84
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $10.41
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $9.28

Yes position

Will an amateur player win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $9.63
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $45.38
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will primmie win the Masters London MVP

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $8.41
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $46.59
Multiplier: 6.54x
User PnL: $7.86

No position

Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $30.41
Potential payout: $51.99
Potential profit: $21.58
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$10.78

Yes position

Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $30.58
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $13.42
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Laurence Louie be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.59

No position

Ethereum above 2,210 on March 20, 1PM ET?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.77

No position

Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Larry Thompson advance from the CA-32 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.3

No position

Ethereum above 2,190 on March 21, 12PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Bitcoin above 69,000 on March 20, 10PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Bitcoin above 68,600 on March 20, 10PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

No position

Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $47.7

No position

Will the number of US flights delayed on April 10 be greater than 7,000?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Ethereum above 2,175 on March 21, 12PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.89

Yes position

Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.06

Yes position

Ethereum above 2,105 on March 21, 5PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.35

No position

Will Charlie Davis be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 10, 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 27?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $23.76

No position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Bitcoin above 69,400 on March 20, 10PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.35

No position

Bitcoin above 72,200 on March 20, 11PM ET?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.24

No position

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.13

No position

Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 27?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Yes 70% 5.99 shares
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 70% 26 shares
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 65% 56.25 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 96% 5.57 shares
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 68% 66 shares
Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 94% 19.99 shares
Will Fubo: Watch Live TV & Sports be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 94% 10 shares
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 94% 9.99 shares
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 64% 56.25 shares
Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 63% 57.25 shares
Will Fubo: Watch Live TV & Sports be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 66% 58 shares
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

No 97% 15 shares