Polymarket Trader

EUfirst

0xae31c5daff96da901abfbebcff6fd81c0c367fa1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.03
Realized PnL: $8.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$12.67

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$51.02

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.32

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$52.19

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$21.37

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$64.52

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $730.12
Potential profit: $721.72
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$59.18

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $686.9
Potential profit: $685.18
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$53.02

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $486.67
Potential profit: $485.45
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$35.28

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $448.43
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$19.13

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $408.07
Potential profit: $407.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $350.46
Potential profit: $350.28
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.09

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $347.9
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$22.4

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $7.71
Potential payout: $139
Potential profit: $131.29
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$3.41

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.29
Potential profit: $124.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US bank failure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.65
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $916.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $785.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.33

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $597.33

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.53

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.73

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.9

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.36

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $304.55

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $300.07

No position

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.18

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.74

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $212.92

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.86

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.23

Yes position

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.48

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.3

Under position

Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.87

No position

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.77

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $136.49

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.96

No position

Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 1,517 shares
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?

Yes 8% 139 shares
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

No 0.8% 124.29 shares
US bank failure by June 30?

Yes 4.7% 50 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 67% 18.92 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Yes 7% 350 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 450 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 91% 150 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 356.18 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 7.5% 486.67 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes 4.8% 803.7 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Yes 4.7% 56.99 shares