anon264811

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $990.04
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $49.96

No position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $659.66
Potential payout: $963
Potential profit: $303.35
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$14.44

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $64.98
Potential payout: $362
Potential profit: $297.02
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: -$155.44

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $226.2
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $85.8
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.56

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $223.44
Potential payout: $304
Potential profit: $80.56
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.52

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $223.44
Potential payout: $304
Potential profit: $80.56
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$1.52

Côte dIvoire position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $223.48
Potential payout: $296
Potential profit: $72.52
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $195.94
Potential payout: $263
Potential profit: $67.07
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $31.1
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $26.19
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $16.07
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $7.06
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $16.02
Potential profit: $15.34
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.71
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.69

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.24
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.2%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 2.03x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.1%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 29?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nursulton Ruziboev position

UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.32

Inaki Montes position

Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.32

San Diego Padres position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.08

Under position

Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.58

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.16

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.36

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position

Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.24

Indiana Fever position

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.26

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.92

Madison Keys position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.2

Ugo Humbert position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Ugo Humbert

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

South Africa position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.2

Boston Red Sox position

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.14

Karolina Muchova position

Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

No position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.12

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.82

No position

Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.32

Over position

Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.31

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position

Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.31

No position

Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.52

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.32

No position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Milwaukee Brewers position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers