Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$116.13
Polymarket Trader
Matzy
0xae4e9b1179c94a7c73332a4950263143cf2a1315
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.94
- Realized PnL
- $3.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $952.64
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $857.14
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $571.43
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.11
- Potential profit
- $236.11
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.77
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.54
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 9?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.98
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.09
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 1,717.83 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 49% 224.12 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 20.9% 224.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 16% 300.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 7% 257.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 250 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3.5% 857.14 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 5.1% 588.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 25% 112 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 1,109 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 14.9% 134 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 3.7% 544.72 shares