Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.16K
- Potential payout
- $7.91K
- Potential profit
- $751.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $28.06
Polymarket Trader
0xae50...0bed
0xae50f52fcb843a9b515fb61c52c08028627c0bed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $11.38K
- Realized PnL
- $4.8K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$52.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $504.55
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $8.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.08
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.63
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.13
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.39
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.29
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.06
No position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.84
No position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.72
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$79.53
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$121.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$129.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$136.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 636.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90% 1,120 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.2% 1,194 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 895.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 3,537.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38.3% 7,668.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 1,055.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 4,545.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90.1% 9,031.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 4,545.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 40% 7,668.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.8% 6,029.07 shares