Polymarket Trader

Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C5

0xae5839b89d47738616264276ac1f0d77f936e5c5

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $131.91
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.79K
User PnL: -$16.39

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.47K
Potential profit: $4.47K
User PnL: -$36

No position

Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$114.05

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $431.17
Potential profit: $428.37
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $298.84
Potential profit: $297.64
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$7.98

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $147.22
Potential profit: $142.95
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $34.87
Potential profit: $29.48
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $3.97

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $23.38
Potential profit: $21.15
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $20.12
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $12.3
Potential payout: $21.77
Potential profit: $9.47
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $11.07
Potential payout: $17.71
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $9.46
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $6.2
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $4.15
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $4.14
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

No 0.1% 5 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 89% 2.59 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 88.4% 5 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 88% 5 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 87.6% 5 shares
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

No 98.6% 5.06 shares
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

No 0.1% 5 shares
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

Yes 80.6% 4.99 shares
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

No 0.2% 5 shares
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?

No 99.2% 5 shares
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?

Yes 99.9% 4.99 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?

No 94% 5 shares