No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.42
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Polymarket Trader
rawwwire
0xae65d522c46be04c5ecfe555d0869b0466feee71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.95
- Realized PnL
- $60.52
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.07
- Potential payout
- $12.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $8.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $8.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $4.36
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
$PEPE position
$PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Solana above $145 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Solana dip to $130 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
Ends Jan 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Yes 39% 2.74 shares
- Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?No 97.9% 5.17 shares
- Will Solana dip to $130 in May?No 89% 4.35 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No 98.2% 1.48 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?No 97.3% 4.59 shares
- Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No 85% 8.24 shares
- Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No 83% 7.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No 93% 4.52 shares
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No 84% 8.1 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in January?No 83% 6.75 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 86% 8.26 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 78% 4.36 shares