No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $660
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.34K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$220
Polymarket Trader
surfa
@surferpredicts
0xae671ffd7421c2fc2b4ad6eb21dedfec3ad57cc8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.84K
- Realized PnL
- $902.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $700
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $129
No position
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484
- Potential profit
- $484
- User PnL
- -$300.08
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$151.5
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$81
Yes position
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $80
- Potential payout
- $98.17
- Potential profit
- $18.17
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $77
- User PnL
- -$20.02
OpTic Texas position
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20
Los Angeles Thieves position
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.49
- Potential payout
- $9.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.42
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.2
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.25
Yes position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.76
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Evil Geniuses Academy position
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.76
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.83
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.63
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.5
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.49
No position
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Yes position
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 WinnerLos Angeles Thieves 99% 9.49 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 5.2% 1,271.77 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 1,819.66 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 63.2% 1,271.77 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 36.9% 0.09 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 37.6% 2,207.5 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 80.9% 1,200 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 1,000 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 50 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 81.5% 855.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes 91% 750 shares