Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.1%
- Current value
- $40.03
- Potential payout
- $142.24
- Potential profit
- $102.21
- Multiplier
- 3.55x
- User PnL
- $15.13
Polymarket Trader
0xae6b...51f6
0xae6b0b7d65c516bb052d42687007d05be68151f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $180.44
- Realized PnL
- $400.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $101.67
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $14.66
- Potential payout
- $75.76
- Potential profit
- $61.1
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $4.66
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.9%
- Current value
- $35.41
- Potential payout
- $68.3
- Potential profit
- $32.88
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $41.46
- Potential profit
- $30.47
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $36.45
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Current value
- $10.86
- Potential payout
- $26.95
- Potential profit
- $16.09
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $6.78
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $12.84
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.89
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $10.86
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $8.37
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $42.44
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
Yes position
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 55.1% 19.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 19.1% 26.13 shares
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Japan?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 25.9% 19.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 21.73 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 24.3% 12.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 39.4% 12.69 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 48% 20.83 shares