Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $400K
- User PnL
- -$30.48K
Polymarket Trader
ProfitMuhammedPBUH
0xae7c98235d5dc797edfa3d3af2e0334238a4487e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.8K
- Realized PnL
- $165.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $336.9K
- Potential profit
- $334.71K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$21.89K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $13.12K
- Potential payout
- $105K
- Potential profit
- $91.87K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.77K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91K
- Potential profit
- $91K
- User PnL
- -$4.17K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.99K
- Potential profit
- $88.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.7K
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61K
- Potential profit
- $61K
- User PnL
- -$885.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $199.75
- Potential payout
- $57.07K
- Potential profit
- $56.87K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.91K
- Potential profit
- $49.91K
- User PnL
- -$15.22K
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $431.22
- Potential payout
- $41.07K
- Potential profit
- $40.64K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.18K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$354
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $34.17K
- Potential profit
- $32.31K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.89K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.65K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $25.35K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.13K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.9K
- Potential profit
- $26.9K
- User PnL
- -$4.23K
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.07K
- Potential profit
- $25.07K
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.93K
- Potential profit
- $21.93K
- User PnL
- -$806.99
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $236.82
- Potential payout
- $21.53K
- Potential profit
- $21.29K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$10.45K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $19.71K
- Potential profit
- $17.83K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $18K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.99K
- Potential profit
- $16.99K
- User PnL
- -$585.96
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.98K
- Potential profit
- $14.98K
- User PnL
- -$3.64K
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.22K
- Potential profit
- $14.22K
- User PnL
- -$127.94
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.22K
- Potential profit
- $13.22K
- User PnL
- -$353.16
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.89K
- Potential profit
- $12.89K
- User PnL
- -$335.08
Yes position
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.69K
- Potential profit
- $12.69K
- User PnL
- -$600.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$5.7K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.62K
- Potential profit
- $11.62K
- User PnL
- -$488
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.92K
- Potential profit
- $10.92K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.89K
- Potential profit
- $10.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.66K
- Potential profit
- $10.66K
- User PnL
- -$4.22K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42K
- Potential profit
- $10.42K
- User PnL
- -$3.21K
No position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.17K
- Potential profit
- $10.17K
- User PnL
- -$703.51
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$493.14
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.86K
- Potential payout
- $9.89K
- Potential profit
- $29.67
- User PnL
- $186.25
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.59K
- Potential profit
- $9.59K
- User PnL
- -$3.3K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- User PnL
- -$857.66
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$453.96
Yes position
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $8.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.54K
- Potential profit
- $7.54K
- User PnL
- -$455.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.1K
- Potential profit
- $7.1K
- User PnL
- -$306.6
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$538.52
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.52K
- User PnL
- -$990.71
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.21K
- Potential profit
- $6.21K
- User PnL
- -$705.48
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $6.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $868.45
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- User PnL
- -$16.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $30.09
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.99K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$430.8
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- User PnL
- -$115.36
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- User PnL
- -$104.99
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$400.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.86K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.4K
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.87K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46K
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83K
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $994.77
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $986.55
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $938.52
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.77
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.75
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $883.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $863.97
No position
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $784.15
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.06
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.95
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 8.9% 30.66 shares
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 40% 39.15 shares
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 0.1% 56 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 50% 200 shares
- Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 6.8% 53.02 shares
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 12.1% 49.75 shares
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 12.3% 103.12 shares
- Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 9.9% 395.53 shares
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 8.7% 172.59 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 18.9% 2,135.81 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?Yes 99.3% 2,508.64 shares
- Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?Yes 7.9% 73.57 shares