Polymarket Trader

Ponyyyy-

0xae7fa59b3cb567c55af99b9a398dd4d50f3065a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.28
Realized PnL: $3.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.44
Potential profit: $116.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $68.63
Potential profit: $68.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $67.8
Potential profit: $59.63
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $48.07
Potential profit: $25.72
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $17.35

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $37.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.67
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $28.65
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $37.59
Potential profit: $37.27
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.23
Potential profit: $30.23
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.44

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.42

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.27

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.49

No position

Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.86

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.41

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.91

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 1AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 10PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 1?

Yes 7.3% 68.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?

Yes 10.4% 48.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?

Yes 26.6% 37.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10PM ET

Up 81% 12.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5PM ET

Up 51% 20 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 4PM ET

Up 51% 20 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 3PM ET

Up 51% 20 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2PM ET

Up 51% 20 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET

Up 51% 15 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET

Up 70.3% 14.23 shares