Polymarket Trader

Lotuscao

0xae81fd873099252a463d5c41eea3c914bb91a99d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $168.19
Realized PnL: $546.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$2

Thiago Cigarran position

Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Cigarran

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.64
Potential profit: $278.64
User PnL: -$9.71

Boston Red Sox position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.37
Potential profit: $206.37
User PnL: -$1.86

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100.1
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.77
Potential profit: $98.77
User PnL: -$40

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.31
Potential profit: $92.31
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $12.04
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $74.91
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $2.04

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $56.2
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $12.77
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$3.8

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$20

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Wild position

Wild vs. Avalanche

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Blues

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.14
User PnL: -$20

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.65
Potential profit: $51.65
User PnL: -$19.63

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

Magic position

Magic vs. Cavaliers

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Celtics position

Thunder vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Pistons position

Raptors vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.44

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Flyers position

Canadiens vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.64

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.55

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Heat position

76ers vs. Heat

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Ducks

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.99

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 99.7% 22.15 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.9% 100.1 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 11.5% 86.96 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 87% 68.97 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?

Yes 99.8% 60.12 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 40.5% 49.38 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

No 64.2% 31.13 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 40.5% 49.38 shares
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 50.3% 10.76 shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers 60% 16.67 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox

Boston Red Sox 53.9% 18.55 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

Cleveland Guardians 48% 20.83 shares