Polymarket Trader

0xae8e51fE57d693Ef2140b3cf64029526bf13AFC1-1775611606863

0xae8e51fe57d693ef2140b3cf64029526bf13afc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $320.84
Realized PnL: $3.02K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.76K
Potential profit: $14.76K
User PnL: -$44.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.02K
Potential profit: $12.02K
User PnL: -$116.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.87K
Potential profit: $11.87K
User PnL: -$268.84

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $5.42K
User PnL: -$51.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.31K
User PnL: -$68.18

Yes position

Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on week 1?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $4.28K
User PnL: -$755.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $4.18K
User PnL: -$43.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $65.17
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.88K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$18.06

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$38.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $249.12
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $78.72

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$111.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $6.54
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$26.51

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.13
Potential profit: $555.13
User PnL: -$59.99

Yes position

Will Grace Avelli be cast on Love Island UK: Season 13?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $7.2
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $443

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $266.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $181.19

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.48

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 3?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.17

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.58

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1% 1,876.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 162.16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 703.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 681.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 194.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.2% 142.5 shares