Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Polymarket Trader
0xaE95EB473a11A8E1629F6e151298C821C693a424-1778954089113
@TroyAlts
0xae95eb473a11a8e1629f6e151298c821c693a424
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.7
- Realized PnL
- $2.75
- Win rate
- 30.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.7
- Potential profit
- $384.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.4
- Potential profit
- $364.4
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $298.15
- Potential profit
- $297.41
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Solana reach $90 on May 20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.45
- Potential profit
- $257.45
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.34
- Potential profit
- $162.34
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.59
- Potential profit
- $142.59
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.78
- Potential profit
- $130.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $12.95
- Potential payout
- $66.23
- Potential profit
- $53.28
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $49.41
- Potential profit
- $48.92
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.12
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $30.17
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $22.94
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.09
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $23.08
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $20.67
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
EDward Gaming position
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 21% 9.52 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Yes 13% 23.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Yes 2.6% 76.92 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp 23.2% 107.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown 72% 34.72 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.1% 66.23 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on June 12?Down 24% 41.67 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No 77% 14.28 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp 9.2% 72.29 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp 2.1% 236.9 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETUp 3% 166.67 shares