No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Polymarket Trader
Optimistic80mb
0xaea5b05627f931332cbc13a9a4722cf9042400b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.51
- Realized PnL
- $11.1
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-12?
Ends Feb 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Northern Colorado position
Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.5% 33 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.3% 33 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.6% 25 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 97.5% 33 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 88.2% 40 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 88.2% 40 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.2% 35 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.9% 40 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 37 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.3% 2 shares
- Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?No 84% 10.25 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 11% 21.24 shares