Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $45.68
- Potential payout
- $344.76
- Potential profit
- $299.08
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- $40.68
Polymarket Trader
0xaeC6e5Ba4F1A4E630e99D8c9a1a8985A66a9f416-1767863738417
0xaec6e5ba4f1a4e630e99d8c9a1a8985a66a9f416
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.07
- Realized PnL
- -$27.5
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $149.28
- Potential profit
- $145.4
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.02
- Potential profit
- $137.02
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $84.03
- Potential profit
- $83.53
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.46
- Potential profit
- $55.46
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.98
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.96
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.83
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?Yes 6% 84.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C or below on June 24?Yes 2% 149.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes 1.5% 344.76 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 10% 266.66 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 15% 266.67 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.3% 1,206.21 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 3.6% 833.33 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 5.9% 372.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp 10% 19.96 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 3.6% 400 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 5% 400 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes 11% 142.83 shares