Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $955.81
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$102.48
Polymarket Trader
ihor-ihor
0xaed4f5205b67e2e0a9d93aa5b9f3be42be617f61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $999.57
- Realized PnL
- $1.22K
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $40.81
- Potential payout
- $583.02
- Potential profit
- $542.21
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$6.94
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $329.15
- Potential profit
- $327.67
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $8.41
- Potential profit
- $8.39
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.91
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $422.07
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $44.83
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.42
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.53
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.85
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 8.5% 1,749.04 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 8% 1,875 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 10.7% 205 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 1.2% 321.72 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 16% 5.55 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 20% 4.27 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes 77% 1.31 shares
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 130 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 7.5% 252.06 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 28.8% 625.84 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 29.5% 2,979.97 shares
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 125 shares