Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $170.71
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Polymarket Trader
Caisy
0xaee08d3c20281b8e242dc9ecef62485eff0d2fc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.3
- Realized PnL
- $486.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $75.5
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $24.59
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $4.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.45
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.25
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.96
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $17.3
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.15
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.01
VCU Rams position
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.83
Duke Blue Devils position
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.44
Suns position
Nuggets vs. Suns
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
9z position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Monaco position
Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 0.5% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29% 25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 18.1% 95.69 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 29.99 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 36% 29.99 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 74% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 6% 29.99 shares
- Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 83.33 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks 36% 16.67 shares
- Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 49.3% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 69% 10 shares