Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $3.45K
- Potential payout
- $23.82K
- Potential profit
- $20.36K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$357.27
Polymarket Trader
92586o
0xaee1e14f9c40535bfd6f287a517f8327a0d3bc78
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.45K
- Realized PnL
- -$39.22
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$52.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11.1% 3,181.54 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.8% 6.66 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.8% 1,220 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.8% 4,021.05 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 9.9% 178.72 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 133.85 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 1,659 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 12,663 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 9,325 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 8,672 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 1.7% 3,463 shares