Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
dafa34
0xaeed8affb76fb38dbf9aa93cbd5665b77e2c6b0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.71
- Realized PnL
- $21.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.02
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.26
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.24
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- User PnL
- -$5.97
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.7
- Potential profit
- $6.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Solana all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Saturday August 30?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 97.5% 10.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 95.2% 10.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No 85% 8.24 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 87% 6.9 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 79% 6.33 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 92.2% 10.85 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 89.3% 11.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?No 95% 6.32 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?No 96% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 97.7% 6.14 shares