Polymarket Trader

0xAeF186e74f9709Ce999aC6d199EB61dcF2515fdc-1717481306205

0xaef186e74f9709ce999ac6d199eb61dcf2515fdc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $531.87
Realized PnL: $2.61K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $111
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.89K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $140.77
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.47K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $20.77

Yes position

SBF released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $160.03
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.28K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$80.84

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$310

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $896.13
Potential profit: $896.13
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$96.4

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.2%
Current value: $120.07
Potential payout: $134.68
Potential profit: $14.61
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.15
Potential profit: $34.15
User PnL: -$13.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.44
Potential profit: $17.44
User PnL: -$8.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.5

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: $40.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 263.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 95% 104.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 96% 104.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Down 61% 163.93 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 92% 150 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 86% 200 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 185.19 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 26.7% 499.99 shares
SBF released from custody in 2026?

Yes 5.6% 1,616.26 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 1,000 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 63% 150 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 476.19 shares