Polymarket Trader

publicgold

0xaef19b96f6e372ff787806543cbcda8d198ee1e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.43K
Realized PnL: $467.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.98K
User PnL: -$11.93

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $268.66
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.22

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.57
Potential profit: $602.57
User PnL: -$452.43

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.96
Potential profit: $285.96
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $173
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Team Liquid Academy Win Emea Challengers Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $143.62
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$14.05

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.01
Potential profit: $75.01
User PnL: -$14.77

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $39.21
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $13.03
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $4.11
User PnL: -$0.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.45

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.35

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.47

Yes position

Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.67

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.18

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.32

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers Stage

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9.1%
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $1.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 81.2% 1,456.13 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 200 shares
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

No 98.8% 39.99 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 33% 1,568.94 shares
Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 12.7% 142 shares
Will MIR Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 10.4% 223.91 shares
Will Natus Vincere Junior Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 20.4% 280.27 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 19% 111.5 shares
Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 12.6% 28.7 shares
Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 12.5% 17 shares
Will Team Liquid Academy Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 10.6% 95 shares
Will FOKUS Win Emea Challengers Stage

Yes 12.4% 100 shares