Polymarket Trader

happyjappy

@happyjappyco

0xaf0074d9f5bba163c5c65d0ce2a488ce024f33a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $670.43
Realized PnL: $4.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.99
Potential profit: $352.99
User PnL: -$115.02

Alvarez position

World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $36.62
Potential payout: $318.44
Potential profit: $281.82
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$90.51

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $212.71
Potential payout: $254.75
Potential profit: $42.03
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $50.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $223
User PnL: -$44.13

Yes position

Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $52.42
Potential payout: $194.16
Potential profit: $141.74
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $34.72
Potential payout: $150.95
Potential profit: $116.23
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$8.42

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $86.42
Potential payout: $145.37
Potential profit: $58.95
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $22.55

Yes position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $39.48
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $54.52
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $60
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $11.01
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $58.45
Potential profit: $45.59
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$4.68

No position

Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $30.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $6.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $837.56

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.19

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.73

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.88

Yes position

Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.75

No position

Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.5

No position

Will Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.48

No position

Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.08

Yes position

Will Solana reach $250 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.15

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.08

No position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.03

No position

Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.69

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.53

Yes position

Will Donald or Melania Trump say "College" during executive order signing events on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.23

No position

Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Hottest" during executive order signing events on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Democracy" 2+ times on Jimmy Kimmel Live?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.27

No position

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

No position

Will Trump say "Too Late" during remarks on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.64

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.75

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 54% 100 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 30% 43.53 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 26.8% 94.16 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 28% 107.42 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 68% 50.11 shares
Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 74% 39 shares
Will Alexander Sørloth score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 34.2% 52.23 shares
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 59% 40 shares
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 30% 8.19 shares
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assists

Yes 34% 103 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez

Alvarez 40% 170 shares
Will Trent Alexander-Arnold score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.6% 116.1 shares