Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $363.38
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
c4vdl4g
0xaf03f889804804ac44c9615fe581c8a487dc9db4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.11K
- Realized PnL
- $914.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $184.39
- Potential payout
- $478.93
- Potential profit
- $294.54
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$15.61
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $326.5
- Potential payout
- $364.8
- Potential profit
- $38.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $49.25
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $197.1
- Potential payout
- $257.65
- Potential profit
- $60.55
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $17.79
- Potential payout
- $31.22
- Potential profit
- $13.43
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Yes position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $14.04
- Potential payout
- $14.94
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.56
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $69.78
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $52.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.94
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
Yes position
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 79% 1,730.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 41.8% 478.93 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 58% 35.09 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 95.7% 699.95 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 97.1% 878.69 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 73.7% 31.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 53.1% 170.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 75.1% 170.02 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 41% 321.4 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 76% 364.8 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes 91% 878.7 shares