Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $32.03
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Polymarket Trader
constanting
0xaf0d13992f648072399c3b886b6d1e5ee21e162c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.03
- Realized PnL
- $111.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
S2G Esports position
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs S2G Esports (+1.5)
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.95
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on Tuesday September 2?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of July?Yes 99% 35 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of June?No 99.8% 37 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No 99.6% 23 shares
- Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No 99.7% 188 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No 99.3% 13.69 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?No 99.9% 58 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?Yes 99.8% 5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.7% 64.6 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?Yes 99.9% 64.3 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No 99.9% 42.44 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.9% 43.04 shares
- Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?No 99.9% 29.89 shares