Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $358.83
- Potential payout
- $5.52K
- Potential profit
- $5.16K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$674.44
Polymarket Trader
Geffrysak
0xaf18aa6626e8039084f0dff7b614566738562c81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $358.83
- Realized PnL
- $45.3
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.29
Yes position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Italy win?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 2,323.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 1,335.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 23% 102.3 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 39.15 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?No 25% 2.37 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Yes 62.7% 1.26 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No 94.4% 1.02 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 6.6% 13.58 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 1.9% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 959.69 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 94.6% 1.05 shares