Polymarket Trader

BI0WEED

0xaf37c5516a1f8c83ae8c8489f8499de2722a6589

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $323.22
Realized PnL: $683.42
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$91.88

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $146.23
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $902.01
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $46.23

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $64.47
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $461.84
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$35.53

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $71.67
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $298.7
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$28.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $298.03
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.6
Potential profit: $139.6
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.14
Potential profit: $82.14
User PnL: -$18.89

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $78.43
Potential profit: $78.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.96

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $71.54
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $48.16
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$5.53

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.55
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.21

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.41

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.08

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.25

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

North Korea missile launch by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be between 14,250,000 and 14,500,000?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 31% 64.52 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Yes 14.3% 139.6 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Yes 23% 82.14 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 78% 256.41 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: April

Something 69% 72.46 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 60% 50 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 31.6% 98.21 shares
Iran leadership change by March 31?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 5.6% 178.57 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 37% 54.05 shares