Polymarket Trader

vamnizar

0xaf4635074c8f9966ff44f2497183b53fc0578c1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.4
Realized PnL: $63.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.63K
Potential profit: $239.63K
User PnL: -$239.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.92K
Potential profit: $88.92K
User PnL: -$99.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.53K
Potential profit: $75.53K
User PnL: -$75.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.48K
Potential profit: $68.48K
User PnL: -$68.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $19.4
Potential payout: $38.8K
Potential profit: $38.78K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.78K
Potential profit: $38.78K
User PnL: -$168.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.23K
Potential profit: $38.23K
User PnL: -$332.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.23K
Potential profit: $37.23K
User PnL: -$37.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.6K
Potential profit: $35.6K
User PnL: -$75.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.32K
Potential profit: $35.32K
User PnL: -$58.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.02K
Potential profit: $35.02K
User PnL: -$42.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.61K
Potential profit: $32.61K
User PnL: -$502.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.85K
Potential profit: $31.85K
User PnL: -$190.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.8K
Potential profit: $31.8K
User PnL: -$95.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.11K
Potential profit: $31.11K
User PnL: -$65.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.57K
Potential profit: $30.57K
User PnL: -$30.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.36K
Potential profit: $30.36K
User PnL: -$51.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.86K
Potential profit: $29.86K
User PnL: -$99.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.81K
Potential profit: $27.81K
User PnL: -$80.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.73K
Potential profit: $27.73K
User PnL: -$73.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.92K
Potential profit: $26.92K
User PnL: -$40.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.45K
Potential profit: $25.45K
User PnL: -$79.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.96K
Potential profit: $24.96K
User PnL: -$24.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.75K
Potential profit: $23.75K
User PnL: -$23.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 28.1% 60.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 74.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 230 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 6.9% 466.08 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Yes 0.6% 120 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 46.7% 120 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 33.3% 120.47 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 81.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 4,335.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 11,021.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 4,332.33 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 920.1 shares