Polymarket Trader

amitnakesh

0xaf707f7ac6fcf2c7cd47fa27867153be7f8850e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $233
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$28.46

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$63.61

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $27.47
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $305.53
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $217.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$55.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$33.15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $60.59
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $124.41
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.92
Potential profit: $153.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $13.09
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $101.2
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $109.99
User PnL: -$41.8

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$17.3

Yes position

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.4%
Current value: $49.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $50.65
Multiplier: 2.03x
User PnL: $8.65

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $97
User PnL: -$72.47

Yes position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.92
Potential profit: $84.92
User PnL: -$11.04

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.57
Potential profit: $61.57
User PnL: -$19.7

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.41

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.67

Yes position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.36

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.36

No position

Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.23

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.48

Yes position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.5

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.74

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.37

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.77

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.78

No position

Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

No position

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.44

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

No position

Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.35

No position

Will Trump say "hurricane" 3 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Yes position

Will Sporting CP beat Sturm Graz?

Ends Oct 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21

Yes position

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 19% 300 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 8.5% 333 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

46.8% 73.61 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 92% 254 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 77% 200 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 32% 100 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 12% 100 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 54% 54 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 50.9% 200 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

31.6% 108.51 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

8.1% 239.53 shares