Polymarket Trader

diehardpepe

@diehard_pepe

0xaf85c93676290f09c0628f781a2eced00f1986e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $215.72
Realized PnL: $1.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$23.7

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $215.72
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 10.75x
User PnL: $159.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$21.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $898.73
Potential profit: $898.73
User PnL: -$34.41

Over position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $861.92
Potential profit: $861.92
User PnL: -$9.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12PM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $744.84
Potential profit: $744.84
User PnL: -$24.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.57
Potential profit: $684.57
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.1
Potential profit: $602.1
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557.46
Potential profit: $557.46
User PnL: -$8.47

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.16
Potential profit: $523.16
User PnL: -$9.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.41
Potential profit: $449.41
User PnL: -$18.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443
Potential profit: $443
User PnL: -$18.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.51
Potential profit: $380.51
User PnL: -$16.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.93
Potential profit: $348.93
User PnL: -$19.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345.28
Potential profit: $345.28
User PnL: -$21.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.49
Potential profit: $281.49
User PnL: -$31.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.99
Potential profit: $250.99
User PnL: -$23.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.37
Potential profit: $248.37
User PnL: -$4.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.02
Potential profit: $244.02
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.15
Potential profit: $241.15
User PnL: -$7

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.6
Potential profit: $199.6
User PnL: -$9.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.28
Potential profit: $199.28
User PnL: -$13.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.71
Potential profit: $174.71
User PnL: -$18.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.7

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.45

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.11

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.28

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.05

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.67

Yes position

Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.23

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.57

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.94

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.33

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 15% 35.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5AM ET

Up 24% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET

Up 0.9% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET

Down 97.9% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9AM ET

Down 4% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8AM ET

Up 0.8% 602.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6AM ET

Down 6% 166.67 shares
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.5% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12PM ET

Up 0.9% 631.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12PM ET

Up 20% 23.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12PM ET

Up 42% 22.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11AM ET

Up 6% 61.67 shares