Polymarket Trader

3MAG

0xaf86dac13743f3c6451cf63288be0d139c2a687e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.5
Realized PnL: $197.48
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.97K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.83
Potential profit: $364.83
User PnL: -$10

Federica Urgesi position

Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Federica Urgesi

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.75
Potential profit: $127.75
User PnL: -$12.76

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.54
Potential profit: $126.54
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.73
Potential profit: $15.73
User PnL: -$4.56

Gabriel Diallo position

Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87
Potential profit: $8.87
User PnL: -$3.63

Maria Sakkari position

Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $70.77

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.85

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $24.66

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.43

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.77

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.76

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.28

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.16

Kansas City Royals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.05

Cleveland Guardians position

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.57

Qinwen Zheng position

Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.75

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 364.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,100.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 3,255 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 4,969.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 73% 6.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 26% 22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 23% 22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 78% 6.88 shares