No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $146.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $78.01
Polymarket Trader
Sinonn
0xaf98158e89d24aa6259104ac37b8d1aa302cd365
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57K
- Realized PnL
- $190.34
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $535.26
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $105.77
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $35.26
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $305.54
- Potential payout
- $427.34
- Potential profit
- $121.79
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $250.52
- Potential payout
- $340.85
- Potential profit
- $90.32
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $185.66
- Potential payout
- $222.35
- Potential profit
- $36.69
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $15.66
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $202.42
- Potential payout
- $202.83
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $173.62
- Potential payout
- $198.42
- Potential profit
- $24.8
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.62
Yes position
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.86
- Potential profit
- $192.86
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $102.71
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $79.11
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $68.58
- Potential payout
- $161.36
- Potential profit
- $92.78
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$21.78
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $46.43
- Potential payout
- $127.21
- Potential profit
- $80.78
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $103.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $21.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.79
- Potential profit
- $65.79
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.49
- Potential profit
- $63.49
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.82
- Potential profit
- $40.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $22.67
- Potential payout
- $29.63
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.97
- Potential profit
- $26.97
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.51
- Potential profit
- $11.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.47
No position
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.26
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 98.6% 202.83 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 95% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?No 54% 5.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?No 53% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?No 29% 6.9 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 94.7% 42.24 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 7?No 53% 5.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?No 57% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7?No 60% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?No 65% 4.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 73% 136.99 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No 66.9% 149.56 shares