Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $508.47
- Potential profit
- $507.71
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.24
Polymarket Trader
0xafa9...1756
0xafa910bbd3230f2b03dd446d58108a5ecb261756
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $288.01
- Realized PnL
- -$97.62
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $13.96
- Potential payout
- $242.86
- Potential profit
- $228.89
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$26.04
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $25.87
- Potential payout
- $234.12
- Potential profit
- $208.25
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yes position
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $135.1
- Potential payout
- $227.06
- Potential profit
- $91.96
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $95.1
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $18.21
- Potential payout
- $191.67
- Potential profit
- $173.46
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.79
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $26.98
- Potential payout
- $125.79
- Potential profit
- $98.81
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $6.98
Yes position
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $41.76
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $75.88
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $21.76
Yes position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $108.66
- Potential profit
- $92.36
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.95
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $9.01
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $43.99
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$10.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.36
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.93
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Powell say "Not our job" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 272.73 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 59.7% 59.37 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 15% 116.73 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3.5% 568.49 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 54.3% 80.5 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 24% 83.33 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 56% 89.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 39% 100 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 16% 125 shares
- Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?Yes 37.7% 53 shares
- Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Yes 18.4% 108.66 shares