chupaps

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $105.1
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.58K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$34.11

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $139.03
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $83.77
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$9.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.78K
User PnL: -$5.56

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.94
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $435.06
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $1.86K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $17.43

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $130.8
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13.11
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$6.61

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $650.16
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $140.25

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $111.31
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$41.51

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $17.38
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $138.67
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $993.29
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $846.34
Potential profit: $846.34
User PnL: -$44.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $43.19
Potential payout: $751.21
Potential profit: $708.02
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $14.87
Potential payout: $607.11
Potential profit: $592.24
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563.84
Potential profit: $563.84
User PnL: -$370.52

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $435.23
Potential payout: $480.92
Potential profit: $45.69
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.21

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.88
Potential profit: $473.88
User PnL: -$95.81

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.45
Potential profit: $423.45
User PnL: -$11.37

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.17
Potential profit: $304.17
User PnL: -$21.33

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $242.6
Potential payout: $290.54
Potential profit: $47.94
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $255.81
Potential payout: $285.82
Potential profit: $30.01
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $27.15

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $6.29
Potential payout: $267.77
Potential profit: $261.48
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.71
Potential profit: $216.71
User PnL: -$15.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.44

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.77

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364.33

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.66

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.88

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.55

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.89

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.7

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.54

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.67

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.27

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.48

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $131.71

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.92

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.09

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.61

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.22

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?