nryy

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $108.82
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$12.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $64.08
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$46.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $291.39
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.13K
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: $176.97

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $1.34K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$445.74

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 12.8%
Current value: $309.53
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 7.81x
User PnL: $130.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $94.16
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$30.92

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $169.01
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.25K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$63.28

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$29.34

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $31.71
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$195.42

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $11.37
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$58.29

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $12.56
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$111.65

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $971.73
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $222.77
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $621.35

Yes position

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$15.76

Yes position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.67

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.58
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$10.87

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $135.56
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$164.04

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $878.88
Potential profit: $876.24
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $878.88
Potential profit: $876.68
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $878.88
Potential profit: $876.68
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $965.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $843.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $680.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.89

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $613.84

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $610.45

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $608.29

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $590.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $567.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.21

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.3

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.86

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $430.8

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $398.88

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.82

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $368.77

Yes position

Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.27

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.06

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $339.07

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?