Yes position
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $12.54
- Potential payout
- $51.2
- Potential profit
- $38.66
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Polymarket Trader
kharisdirga
0xafbd966b979c3e31c0884ba19e5066f26d308446
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.64
- Realized PnL
- $29.53
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $17.45
- Potential payout
- $50.6
- Potential profit
- $33.15
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.9
N
No position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $21.69
- Potential payout
- $34.16
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $21.1
- Potential profit
- $15.19
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Y
Yes position
Will Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $21.01
- Potential profit
- $19.8
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $7.17
- Potential payout
- $20.8
- Potential profit
- $13.63
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.72
Y
Yes position
Will American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.25B?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $8.61
- Potential payout
- $20.51
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $20.12
- Potential profit
- $18.91
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
N
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $6.55
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Y
Yes position
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $4.62
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $3.38
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Triangle" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $43.66
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $19.95
Y
Yes position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $8.2
Y
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
N
No position
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
N
No position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$22.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No 93.6% 52.51 shares
- Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 24.62 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes 30% 99.75 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Yes 14% 13.95 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 15.4% 23.38 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No 93.5% 52.57 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 71% 23.85 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes 18% 14.5 shares
- GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 5.6% 39 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?No 87.2% 15 shares
- Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.7M and 7.8M in June?Yes 9% 20.1 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 87.6% 1.13 shares