No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $7.77
Polymarket Trader
0xafc8...b140
0xafc8a3b55d1fa02c7f047fc771a69633a881b140
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.34
- Realized PnL
- $18.57
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $3.66
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.3%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 78% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 6.05 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?No 62% 8.13 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 48% 3.75 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 58% 3.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 79% 2.53 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 57% 3.05 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 81% 6.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares