Polymarket Trader

0xAFcCcC7E051DEBAF698c6DD729BF1A77c8b1dD1D-1775398883606

0xafcccc7e051debaf698c6dd729bf1a77c8b1dd1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $464.55
Realized PnL: $30.15
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $206.64
Potential payout: $238.89
Potential profit: $32.25
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $102.11
Potential payout: $159.54
Potential profit: $57.44
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$6.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $139.82
Potential payout: $148.11
Potential profit: $8.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.82

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.65
Potential profit: $50.65
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will "Conspiracy" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.12

OG position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 80% 11.36 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 84% 118.4 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 69.5% 142 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.5% 116.96 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 85.7% 7 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82.8% 24.15 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 88% 11.36 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 62% 32.25 shares