Polymarket Trader

robotax

0xafd7efd265db601d87ae8c209e98df4c41abbf4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $126.57
Realized PnL: $410.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $96.77
Potential payout: $121.73
Potential profit: $24.95
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$19.6

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $43.85
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $2.81
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $38.85
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.56
Potential payout: $16.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $10.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.11
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.87

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.44

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.7

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 5AM ET

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Yes 60% 70 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 61.73 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 58% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 84% 23.81 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Yes 8% 13 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Yes 47.5% 10 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?

Yes 21% 10 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?

Yes 12% 10 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 53% 10 shares